Investment Memo: GMBREW

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 5
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

G M Breweries Ltd, set up in 1981 manufactures and markets Alcoholic Beverages such as Country Liquor (CL) and Indian-made Foreign Liquor (IMFL). [1]
Site: GMBREW
Main Symbol: GMBREW

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 1,390 cr Price: 761.0 Trading pe: 13.9x
Book-value: 291/share Div yield: 0.53 % Earning yield: 9.13%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 923.00 52week low: 365.60

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 761.0, above its 50dma 746.04. It also trades above its 200dma 626.18. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 923.00 and the 52week low is at 365.60

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is almost debt free.
– is expected to give good quarter

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -1.11% over past five years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 46.3x. United Breweries trades at the industry’s max P/E of 125.34x. GMBREW trades at a P/E of 13.9x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.1 while the mean Piotski score is 9.0. GMBREW has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 4.5%. The max 1- month return was given by Radico Khaitan: a return of 12.35 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Dec 2021 is Rs 131.0 cr compared to Rs 112.0 cr for period ended Dec 2020, a rise of 17.0% .
  • vis-vis 28.0 for period ended Dec 2020 .

  • Operating Margins contracted -438.9 bps for period ended Dec 2021 vis-vis Dec 2020.
  • Company reported operating profit of Rs 27.0 cr for period ended Dec 2021 and operating profit margin at 20.6 % for same period.
  • The EPS for quarter ended Dec 2021 is Rs 10.83 compared to Rs 11.95 for previous quarter ended Sep 2021 and Rs 11.55 for Dec 2020.

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 444.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 340.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 23.4%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -1.5%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 23.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 22.0% for period ended Mar 2021, expansion of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 99.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 80.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 19.2%.
  • Company recorded a Net Profit CAGR of 6.5% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The stock has given a return of 67% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 9% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 29% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -7% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 120% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 2% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 fii holding stood at 1.6% vis-vis 1.38% for Jun 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 public holding stood at 23.97% vis-vis 24.19% for Jun 2021

Conclusion

– is almost debt free.
– is expected to give good quarter – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -1.11% over past five years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 746.04 and is trading at 761.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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