Investment Memo: NESTLEIND

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Nestle India Limited is a subsidiary of Nestle which is a Swiss MNC. The company operates in the Food segment.
Site: NESTLEIND
Main Symbol: NESTLEIND

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 172,357 cr Price: 17876.0 Trading pe: 74.3x
Book-value: 216/share Div yield: 1.12 % Earning yield: 1.93%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 20609.15 52week low: 16116.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 17876.0, below its 50dma 18158.39 and below its 200dma 18438.8. The stock remains bearish on technicals
  • The 52 week high is at 20609.15 and the 52week low is at 16116.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is almost debt free.
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 93.46%
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 116.68%

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 82.69 times its book value
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 9.98% over past five years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 55.0x. Nestle India trades at the industry’s max P/E of 74.28x. NESTLEIND trades at a P/E of 74.3x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.5 while the mean Piotski score is 6.0. NESTLEIND has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is -3.9%. The max 1- month return was given by Nestle India: a return of -0.74 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Dec 2021 is Rs 3853.0 cr compared to Rs 3433.0 cr for period ended Dec 2020, a rise of 12.2% .
  • vis-vis 777.0 for period ended Dec 2020 .

  • Operating Margins contracted -1243.3 bps for period ended Dec 2021 vis-vis Dec 2020.
  • Company reported operating profit of Rs 393.0 cr for period ended Dec 2021 and operating profit margin at 10.2 % for same period.
  • The EPS for quarter ended Dec 2021 is Rs 40.1 compared to Rs 64.03 for previous quarter ended Sep 2021 and Rs 50.13 for Dec 2020.

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 14709.0 cr for period ended Dec 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 13350.0 cr for the period ended Dec 2020, a growth of 9.2%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 9.2%.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 2145.0 cr for period ended Dec 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 2082.0 cr for the period ended Dec 2020, rising 2.9%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 10.1% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 113.0% compared to 93.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 9% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 19% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 10% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 9% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 11% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 13% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Dec 2021 fii holding stood at 12.35% vis-vis 12.31% for Sep 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Dec 2021 public holding stood at 16.99% vis-vis 16.93% for Sep 2021

Conclusion

– is almost debt free.
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 93.46%
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 116.68% – Stock is trading at 82.69 times its book value
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 9.98% over past five years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains below its 50 DMA 18158.39 and is trading at 17876.0. Shows a near term lack of buying interest.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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