Investment Memo: NIYOGIN

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Niyogin Fintech Ltd is a fintech company and a registered NBFC. The Co. provides a digital platform that enables access to relevant services & products for MSMEs providing financial inclusion, credit, investments and SAAS services. [1]
Site: NIYOGIN
Main Symbol: NIYOGIN

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 664 cr Price: 70.4 Trading pe: x
Book-value: 30.5/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: -1.40%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 117.80 52week low: 57.20

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 70.4, below its 50dma 74.55 and below its 200dma 79.08. The stock remains bearish on technicals
  • The 52 week high is at 117.80 and the 52week low is at 57.20

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is almost debt free.

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
– has a low return on equity of -4.91% for last 3 years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 25.2x. Bajaj Finance trades at the industry’s max P/E of 73.39x. NIYOGIN trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.5 while the mean Piotski score is 6.0. NIYOGIN has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is -1.8%. The max 1- month return was given by Cholaman.Inv.&Fn: a return of 21.72 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Sep 2021 is Rs 4.96 cr compared to Rs 7.34 cr for period ended Sep 2020, a fall of 32.4%
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  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -1.95 cr for period ended Sep 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was 0.78.
  • The EPS for quarter ended Sep 2021 is Rs -0.16 compared to Rs -0.13 for previous quarter ended Jun 2021 and Rs 0.01 for Sep 2020.

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 20.49 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 25.52 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a fall of 24.5%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -3.5%.
  • Operating margins shrank to -39.78% for period ended TTM vis-vis -15.2% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 2458.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -8.59 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs -6.44 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, falling 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 103.31 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs -102.83 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The stock has given a return of 0% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -2% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -32% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 28% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 41% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of % over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Dec 2021 fii holding stood at 15.32% vis-vis 15.98% for Sep 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Dec 2021 public holding stood at 46.13% vis-vis 45.26% for Sep 2021

Conclusion

– is almost debt free. – has low interest coverage ratio.
– has a low return on equity of -4.91% for last 3 years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains below its 50 DMA 74.55 and is trading at 70.4. Shows a near term lack of buying interest.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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