Investment Memo: SIEMENS

Join Bharat Equity Telegram Channel for updated India results, analysis and News

[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)][lwa][/s2If] [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

Our Rating: SELL

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 2
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating SELL. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

Siemens Limited offers products, integrated solutions for industrial applications for manufacturing industries, drives for process industries, intelligent infrastructure and buildings, efficient and clean power generation from fossil fuels and oil & gas applications, transmission and distribution of electrical energy for passenger and freight transportation, including rail vehicles, rail automation and rail electrification systems.
Site: SIEMENS
Main Symbol: SIEMENS

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 81,633 cr Price: 2292.0 Trading pe: 74.9x
Book-value: 291/share Div yield: 0.35 % Earning yield: 1.94%
Face-value: 2.00/share 52week high: 2577.45 52week low: 1565.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 2292.0, below its 50dma 2313.84. However it is trading above its 200dma 2104.11. The stock remains weak in the short term due to near term bearish momentum. However overall bullish structure remains intact. Price action will further build up as it moves above its dma50, currently situated at 2313.84.
  • The 52 week high is at 2577.45 and the 52week low is at 1565.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is almost debt free.
– is expected to give good quarter
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 27.07%

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 7.89 times its book value
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 4.71% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 10.50% for last 3 years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 30.1x. A B B trades at the industry’s max P/E of 141.21x. SIEMENS trades at a P/E of 74.9x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 2.7 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. SIEMENS has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 4.6%. The max 1- month return was given by CG Power & Indu.: a return of 28.26 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Sep 2021 is Rs 4296.0 cr compared to Rs 3547.0 cr for period ended Sep 2020, a rise of 21.1%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 447.0 cr for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis 450.0 for period ended Sep 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -228.2 bps for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis Sep 2020 .
  • The EPS for Sep 2021 was Rs 9.03 compared to Rs 3.9 for previous quarter ended Jun 2021 and Rs 9.27 for Sep 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 13639.0 cr for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 9946.0 cr for the period ended Sep 2020, a healthy growth of 27.1%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 2.2%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 11.0% for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis 10.0% for period ended Sep 2020, expansion of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 1090.0 cr for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 769.0 cr for the period ended Sep 2020, rising 29.4%.
  • Company recorded a Net Profit CAGR of 6.6% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 1422.0 cr for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis Rs 720.0 cr for period ended Sep 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 11.0% compared to 11.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 42% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 29% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 37% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 2% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 42% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 7% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 fii holding stood at 5.21% vis-vis 4.6% for Jun 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 public holding stood at 9.87% vis-vis 10.05% for Jun 2021

Conclusion

– is almost debt free.
– is expected to give good quarter
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 27.07% – Stock is trading at 7.89 times its book value
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 4.71% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 10.50% for last 3 years.

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak. The business fundamentals are on shaky ground. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock reflects the poor fundamentals. The stock remains below its 50 DMA 2313.84 and is trading at 2292.0. It has shown near term lack of bullish momentum. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a STRONG SELL.

[/s2If]
Join Bharat Equity Telegram Channel for updated India results, analysis and News