Home Investment Memo: PNB

Investment Memo: PNB

[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)][lwa][/s2If] [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 6
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

Punjab National Bank is India’s first Swadeshi Bank. PNB is a Banking and Financial service bank owned by the Government of India with its headquarters is in New Delhi, India. It is the second largest PSU after SBI in India.#

Main Points

Ratios
Capital Adequacy Ratio – 13.88%
Net Interest Margin – 3.09%
Gross NPA – 12.99%#
Net NPA – 4.03%
CASA Ratio – 44.66%Site: PNB

Market Cap: Rs 47,457 cr Price: 43.1 Trading pe: 18.5x
Book-value: 58.0/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 6.75%
Face-value: 2.00/share 52week high: 46.40 52week low: 26.30

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 43.1, above its 50dma 38.25. It also trades above its 200dma 37.37. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 46.40 and the 52week low is at 26.30

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– Stock is trading at 0.74 times its book value
– is expected to give good quarter
– has delivered good profit growth of 21.92% CAGR over last 5 years

Weakness

– Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
– has low interest coverage ratio.
– has a low return on equity of -4.06% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.241351.94 Cr.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 15.4x. I O B trades at the industry’s max P/E of 63.59x. PNB trades at a P/E of 18.5x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.9 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. PNB has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 16.2%. The max 1- month return was given by Bank of India: a return of 21.8 %

Quarterly Results

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 81866.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 54918.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a healthy growth of 32.9%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 18.9%.
  • Operating margins shrank to -9340.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis -7946.0% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 139400.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 2562.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 438.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 1240.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs -12744.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 4.0% compared to -4.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 28% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -21% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 49% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 19% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 539% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 30% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 2.94% vis-vis 3.81% for Dec 2020
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 11.12% vis-vis 9.3% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– Stock is trading at 0.74 times its book value
– is expected to give good quarter
– has delivered good profit growth of 21.92% CAGR over last 5 years – Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
– has low interest coverage ratio.
– has a low return on equity of -4.06% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.241351.94 Cr.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 38.25 and is trading at 43.1, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

[/s2If]
Join Our Telegram Group