Home Investment Memo: 539399

Investment Memo: 539399

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

Bella Casa Fashion & Retail is engaged in manufacturing of home furnishings/home madeups, women ethnic wear and men’s ethnic wear.Site: 539399

Market Cap: Rs 158 cr Price: 138.0 Trading pe: 35.2x
Book-value: 47.6/share Div yield: 0.87 % Earning yield: 5.31%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 155.80 52week low: 60.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 138.0, above its 50dma 124.56. It also trades above its 200dma 111.56. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 155.80 and the 52week low is at 60.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -5.92%

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 21.6x. Garware Tech. trades at the industry’s max P/E of 38.85x. 539399 trades at a P/E of 35.2x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.9 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. 539399 has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 15.3%. The max 1- month return was given by PDS Multi.: a return of 43.33 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 49.95 cr compared to Rs 35.45 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 40.9%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 3.6 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 2.87 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -88.9 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 1.64 compared to Rs 3.49 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 0.85 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 129.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 163.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 26.4%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 1.1%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 9.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 11.0% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 200.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 5.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 9.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 80.0%.
  • Company reported a poor Net Profit CAGR of -5.9% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 18.0% compared to 20.0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The stock has given a return of 66% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -8% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -30% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 13% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -54% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 41% over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 31.91% vis-vis 31.91% for Dec 2020

    Conclusion

    – – Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -5.92%

    • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 124.56 and is trading at 138.0, thus bullish price action wise.
    • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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