Home Investment Memo: 531962

Investment Memo: 531962

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 3
Piotski Score: 8
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski score of 8.

Description

Shree Metalloys manufactures metal forgings.Site: 531962

Market Cap: Rs 15.3 cr Price: 29.1 Trading pe: 52.8x
Book-value: 13.6/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 2.80%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 32.90 52week low: 12.10

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 29.1, above its 50dma 28.3. It also trades above its 200dma 22.98. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 32.90 and the 52week low is at 12.10

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
-Debtor days have improved from 45.89 to 30.12 days.

Weakness

– Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 2.51% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 2.30% for last 3 years.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 45.0x. 3M India trades at the industry’s max P/E of 192.2x. 531962 trades at a P/E of 52.8x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.6 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. 531962 has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski scoreof 8.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 12.8%. The max 1- month return was given by Redington India: a return of 44.03 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 16.33 cr compared to Rs 12.44 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 31.3%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 0.19 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 0.15 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -4.2 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 0.11 compared to Rs 0.4 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs -0.1 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 48.46 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 43.51 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a healthy growth of 10.2%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 2.3%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 1.4% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 1.61% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 21.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 0.39 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 0.14 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 64.1%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 29.4% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 2.0% compared to 2.0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The stock has given a return of 63% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 69% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 9% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 32% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -6% over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 26.93% vis-vis 26.93% for Dec 2020

    Conclusion

    – has reduced debt.
    – is almost debt free.
    -Debtor days have improved from 45.89 to 30.12 days. – Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
    -The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 2.51% over past five years.
    – has a low return on equity of 2.30% for last 3 years.
    -‘s cost of borrowing seems high

    • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 28.3 and is trading at 29.1 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
    • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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