Investment Memo: GAL

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 0
Piotski Score: 3
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 0 and Piotski score of 3.

Description

Gyscoal Alloys is engaged in the manufacturing of SS products.Site: GAL

Market Cap: Rs 45.1 cr Price: 2.85 Trading pe: x
Book-value: -5.13/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: -9.71%
Face-value: 1.00/share 52week high: 4.10 52week low: 1.90

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 2.85, above its 50dma 2.52. It also trades above its 200dma 2.64. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 4.10 and the 52week low is at 1.90

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -18.64% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -31.71% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.155.74 Cr.
– has high debtors of 620.48 days.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 16.6x. Apollo Tricoat trades at the industry’s max P/E of 42.73x. GAL trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.1 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. GAL has a G-Factor of 0 and Piotski scoreof 3.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 13.3%. The max 1- month return was given by Godawari Power: a return of 49.19 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 7.0 cr compared to Rs 12.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 41.7%
  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -69.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was -3.0
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 2.36 compared to Rs -0.43 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 0.19 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 13.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 65.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 400.0%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -48.5%.
  • Operating margins shrank to -651.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis -20.0% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 63100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -74.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs -14.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was -45.0% compared to -32.0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The stock has given a return of 8% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -27% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -79% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -28% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 27% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of % over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 0.0% vis-vis 0.0% for Dec 2020
    – Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 35.06% vis-vis 35.12% for Dec 2020

    Conclusion

    – – has low interest coverage ratio.
    -The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -18.64% over past five years.
    – has a low return on equity of -31.71% for last 3 years.
    -Contingent liabilities of Rs.155.74 Cr.
    – has high debtors of 620.48 days.

    • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 2.52 and is trading at 2.85 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
    • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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