Home Investment Memo: KOKUYOCMLN

Investment Memo: KOKUYOCMLN

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Kokuyo Camlin is engaged in the business of Scholastic Products and Note Books,Writing and Marking Instruments and Fine Art and Graphics /Fashion and Hobby Colours.Site: KOKUYOCMLN

Market Cap: Rs 660 cr Price: 65.8 Trading pe: x
Book-value: 24.8/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: -1.77%
Face-value: 1.00/share 52week high: 75.40 52week low: 50.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 65.8, above its 50dma 61.39. It also trades above its 200dma 61.24. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 75.40 and the 52week low is at 50.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 2.65 times its book value
– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -8.08% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 0.62% for last 3 years.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 65.0x. Kokuyo Camlin trades at the industry’s max P/E of 171.09x. KOKUYOCMLN trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.2 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. KOKUYOCMLN has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 15.2%. The max 1- month return was given by Linc Pen &Plast.: a return of 37.23 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 132.07 cr compared to Rs 144.42 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 8.6%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 11.16 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 6.41 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 401.2 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 0.5 compared to Rs 0.13 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs -0.03 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 403.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 634.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 57.3%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -13.8%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 2.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 6.0% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 400.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -15.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 4.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was -6.0% compared to 1.0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The stock has given a return of 12% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -13% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -36% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -14% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -463% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of % over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 0.09% vis-vis 0.07% for Dec 2020
    – Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 24.92% vis-vis 24.93% for Dec 2020

    Conclusion

    – – Stock is trading at 2.65 times its book value
    – has low interest coverage ratio.
    -The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -8.08% over past five years.
    – has a low return on equity of 0.62% for last 3 years.
    – might be capitalizing the interest cost

    • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 61.39 and is trading at 65.8, thus bullish price action wise.
    • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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