Home Investment Memo: HLVLTD

Investment Memo: HLVLTD

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

HLV is primarily engaged in the business of owning, operating & managing hotels, palaces and resorts.Site: HLVLTD

Market Cap: Rs 593 cr Price: 9.4 Trading pe: x
Book-value: 6.87/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: -9.13%
Face-value: 2.00/share 52week high: 12.50 52week low: 4.20

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 9.4, above its 50dma 7.81. It also trades above its 200dma 6.32. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 12.50 and the 52week low is at 4.20

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -25.54% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 9.57% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.917.93 Cr.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 57.4x. Indian Hotels Co trades at the industry’s max P/E of 0.0x. HLVLTD trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 2.9 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. HLVLTD has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 19.6%. The max 1- month return was given by Barbeque-Nation: a return of 54.67 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 9.02 cr compared to Rs 37.54 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 76.0%
  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -14.84 cr for period ended Mar 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was -14.59
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs -0.02 compared to Rs -0.18 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs -0.27 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 19.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 146.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 668.4%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -48.4%.
  • Operating margins shrank to -280.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis -31.0% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 24900.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -36.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 194.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 47.0% compared to 10.0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The stock has given a return of 69% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -21% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -69% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -41% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -130% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 133% over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 0.0% vis-vis 0.0% for Dec 2020
    – Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 50.46% vis-vis 50.46% for Dec 2020

    Conclusion

    – has reduced debt.
    – is almost debt free. – has low interest coverage ratio.
    -The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -25.54% over past five years.
    – has a low return on equity of 9.57% for last 3 years.
    -Contingent liabilities of Rs.917.93 Cr.

    • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 7.81 and is trading at 9.4, thus bullish price action wise.
    • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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