Home Investment Memo: MMP

Investment Memo: MMP

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 3
G Factor: 3
Piotski Score: 3
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski score of 3.

Description

MMP Industries Ltd is engaged in manufacturing of aluminium powders/pastes, aluminium conductors and aluminium foils.Site: MMP

Market Cap: Rs 287 cr Price: 113.0 Trading pe: 16.5x
Book-value: 75.1/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 6.56%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 120.00 52week low: 61.60

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 113.0, above its 50dma 96.58. It also trades above its 200dma 88.55. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 120.00 and the 52week low is at 61.60

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is almost debt free.

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 5.04% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 11.84% for last 3 years.
-Dividend payout has been low at 4.85% of profits over last 3 years

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 20.1x. Arfin India trades at the industry’s max P/E of 30.01x. MMP trades at a P/E of 16.5x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.9 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. MMP has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski scoreof 3.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 18.3%. The max 1- month return was given by Maan Aluminium: a return of 70.89 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 77.26 cr compared to Rs 63.11 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 22.4%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 9.23 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 5.23 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 366.0 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 2.74 compared to Rs 1.97 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 1.39 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 231.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 242.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 4.8%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -1.7%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 12.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 11.0% for period ended Mar 2020, expansion of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 17.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 19.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 11.8%.
  • Company reported a poor Net Profit CAGR of -3.6% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The stock has given a return of 41% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -5% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -5% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -2% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -6% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -3% over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Conclusion

    – is almost debt free. – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 5.04% over past five years.
    – has a low return on equity of 11.84% for last 3 years.
    -Dividend payout has been low at 4.85% of profits over last 3 years

    • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 96.58 and is trading at 113.0 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
    • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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