Investment Memo: MTEDUCARE

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 3
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

MT Educare is an education support and coaching services provider for students in the secondary and higher secondary school and for students pursuing graduation degree in commerce, preparing for various competitive examinations and undertaking chartered a(Source : 201903 Annual Report Page No:106)Site: MTEDUCARE

Market Cap: Rs 74.4 cr Price: 10.3 Trading pe: x
Book-value: 23.7/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: -5.89%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 18.21 52week low: 6.22

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 10.3, above its 50dma 9.1. It also trades above its 200dma 9.77. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 18.21 and the 52week low is at 6.22

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
-Stock is trading at 0.43 times its book value

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -2.00% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -24.52% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.28.58 Cr.
-Promoters have pledged 53.98% of their holding.
-Debtor days have increased from 44.52 to 63.92 days.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 18.9x. Global Education trades at the industry’s max P/E of 15.74x. MTEDUCARE trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 2.9 while the mean Piotski score is 9.0. MTEDUCARE has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 17.6%. The max 1- month return was given by VJTF Eduservices: a return of 31.05 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 4.0 cr compared to Rs 23.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 82.6%
  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -19.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was -14.0
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs -4.07 compared to Rs 0.14 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs -8.17 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 75.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 205.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 173.3%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -30.5%.
  • Operating margins shrank to -17.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 16.0% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 3300.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -30.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs -46.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was -10.0% compared to -25.0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The stock has given a return of -40% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -41% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -59% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -12% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -266% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of % over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 0.0% vis-vis 0.0% for Dec 2020
    – Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 36.72% vis-vis 36.72% for Dec 2020

    Conclusion

    – has reduced debt.
    -Stock is trading at 0.43 times its book value – has low interest coverage ratio.
    -The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -2.00% over past five years.
    – has a low return on equity of -24.52% for last 3 years.
    -Contingent liabilities of Rs.28.58 Cr.
    -Promoters have pledged 53.98% of their holding.
    -Debtor days have increased from 44.52 to 63.92 days.
    -‘s cost of borrowing seems high

    • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 9.1 and is trading at 10.3 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
    • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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