Home Investment Memo: 531814

Investment Memo: 531814

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 1
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Tirupati Sarjan is principally engaged in the civil construction and real estate development business.Site: 531814

Market Cap: Rs 19.1 cr Price: 5.79 Trading pe: 16.8x
Book-value: 22.4/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 14.80%
Face-value: 5.00/share 52week high: 10.40 52week low: 4.53

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 5.79, below its 50dma 6.29 and below its 200dma 6.56. The stock remains bearish on technicals
  • The 52 week high is at 10.40 and the 52week low is at 4.53

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– Stock is trading at 0.26 times its book value

Weakness

– Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -11.13% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 4.41% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.61.29 Cr.
-Debtor days have increased from 84.59 to 137.69 days.
-Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -6.71%

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 37.3x. Phoenix Mills trades at the industry’s max P/E of 269.3x. 531814 trades at a P/E of 16.8x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.4 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. 531814 has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 2.5%. The max 1- month return was given by NBCC: a return of 12.63 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 25.0 cr compared to Rs 34.75 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 28.1%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 2.21 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 2.21 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 248.0 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 0.11 compared to Rs 0.09 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs -0.27 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 65.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 119.5 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 83.8%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -26.7%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 13.54% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 9.58% for period ended Mar 2020, expansion of 396.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 1.14 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 3.03 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 165.8%.
  • Company reported a poor Net Profit CAGR of -41.1% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 2.0% compared to 4.0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The stock has given a return of 5% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -28% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -46% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -27% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -63% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -41% over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 59.28% vis-vis 59.28% for Dec 2020

    Conclusion

    – Stock is trading at 0.26 times its book value – Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
    – has low interest coverage ratio.
    -The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -11.13% over past five years.
    – has a low return on equity of 4.41% for last 3 years.
    -Contingent liabilities of Rs.61.29 Cr.
    -Debtor days have increased from 84.59 to 137.69 days.
    -Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -6.71%

    • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock remains below its 50 DMA 6.29 and is trading at 5.79. Shows a near term lack of buying interest.
    • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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