Investment Memo: SAGCEM

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 7
G Factor: 6
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 6 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

Sagar Cements is engaged in the business of manufacture and sale of cement.

Main Points

Manufacturing Capacities #
Cement 5.75 MTPA
Captive Power Plants 61.55 MW
Locations:
Gudipadu, AP – 1.25 MTPA and 25 MW
Bayyavaram, AP – 1.50 MTPA and 8.42 MW
Mattampally,Telangana – 3.00 MTPA and 28.13 MWSite: SAGCEMMain Symbol: SAGCEM

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 2,588 cr Price: 1101.0 Trading pe: 13.9x
Book-value: 513/share Div yield: 0.59 % Earning yield: 10.49%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 1195.00 52week low: 320.05

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 1101.0, above its 50dma 932.91. It also trades above its 200dma 747.74. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 1195.00 and the 52week low is at 320.05

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has delivered good profit growth of 33.19% CAGR over last 5 years
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 22.20%
-Debtor days have improved from 34.65 to 26.81 days.

Weakness

– has a low return on equity of 8.31% for last 3 years.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 16.1x. The Ramco Cement trades at the industry’s max P/E of 31.1x. SAGCEM trades at a P/E of 13.9x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 5.4 while the mean Piotski score is 9.0. SAGCEM has a G-Factor of 6 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 15.8%. The max 1- month return was given by K C P: a return of 41.49 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 418.0 cr compared to Rs 304.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 37.5%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 104.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 45.0 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 1007.8 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 21.26 compared to Rs 21.14 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 0.58 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 1371.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 1175.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a healthy growth of 14.3%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 9.7%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 29.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 16.0% for period ended Mar 2020, expansion of 1300.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 186.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 27.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 85.5%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 92.7% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 377.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 202.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 17.0% compared to 8.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 191% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 12% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 17% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 10% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 596% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 92% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 3.24% vis-vis 2.98% for Dec 2020
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 34.72% vis-vis 34.66% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– has delivered good profit growth of 33.19% CAGR over last 5 years
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 22.20%
-Debtor days have improved from 34.65 to 26.81 days. – has a low return on equity of 8.31% for last 3 years.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 932.91 and is trading at 1101.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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