Investment Memo: HERITGFOOD

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 6
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

Heritage Foods is engaged in the business of procurement and processing of Milk & Milk products and also generation of power through solar & wind for the captive consumption of its dairy plants.# The company has a reach to over 15 lakh households in India.#

Main Points

Sales Breakup
Milk – 65%
Value Added Products – 27%
Fat – 6%
Others – 2%#Site: HERITGFOODMain Symbol: HERITGFOOD

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 2,240 cr Price: 483.0 Trading pe: 14.9x
Book-value: 128/share Div yield: 1.04 % Earning yield: 9.46%
Face-value: 5.00/share 52week high: 508.00 52week low: 242.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 483.0, above its 50dma 390.04. It also trades above its 200dma 339.46. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 508.00 and the 52week low is at 242.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
– has delivered good profit growth of 21.70% CAGR over last 5 years

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 3.78 times its book value
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 0.77% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 3.75% for last 3 years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 51.0x. Tasty Bite Eat. trades at the industry’s max P/E of 117.38x. HERITGFOOD trades at a P/E of 14.9x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.1 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. HERITGFOOD has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 8.6%. The max 1- month return was given by KRBL: a return of 23.14 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 619.0 cr compared to Rs 653.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 5.2%
  • Company reported operating profit of Rs 44.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021, operating profit margin at 7.1 %.
  • Operating profit was negative for the same period last year thus company has improved its margins this year
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 5.27 compared to Rs 5.67 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs -45.09 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 2473.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 2726.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 10.2%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 1.4%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 11.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis -14.0% for period ended Mar 2020, expansion of 2500.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 150.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs -160.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 206.7%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 33.5% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 174.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 117.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 29.0% compared to 4.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 83% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -6% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -9% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 1% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 194% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 34% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 3.79% vis-vis 4.55% for Dec 2020
– Public shareholding has risen for the period ended Mar 2021. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 42.8% vis-vis 40.1% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
– has delivered good profit growth of 21.70% CAGR over last 5 years – Stock is trading at 3.78 times its book value
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 0.77% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 3.75% for last 3 years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 390.04 and is trading at 483.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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