Home Investment Memo: TCIEXP

Investment Memo: TCIEXP

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 6
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

TCI Express is engaged in the business to carry express cargo distribution.(Source : 202003-01 Annual Report Page No:92)Site: TCIEXPMain Symbol: TCIEXP

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 5,580 cr Price: 1448.0 Trading pe: 56.0x
Book-value: 113/share Div yield: 0.28 % Earning yield: 2.36%
Face-value: 2.00/share 52week high: 1624.00 52week low: 635.05

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 1448.0, above its 50dma 1314.82. It also trades above its 200dma 1030.84. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 1624.00 and the 52week low is at 635.05

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
– has delivered good profit growth of 530.52% CAGR over last 5 years
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 28.33%

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 12.82 times its book value

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 56.0x. TCI Express trades at the industry’s max P/E of 56.01x. TCIEXP trades at a P/E of 56.0x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 5.0 while the mean Piotski score is 5.0. TCIEXP has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is -1.3%. The max 1- month return was given by TCI Express: a return of -1.34 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 280.0 cr compared to Rs 238.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 17.6%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 54.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 27.0 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 794.1 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 11.08 compared to Rs 8.75 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 4.96 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 844.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 1032.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 22.3%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -1.6%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 16.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 12.0% for period ended Mar 2020, expansion of 400.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 101.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 89.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 11.9%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 20.3% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 119.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 82.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 26.0% compared to 28.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 120% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 38% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -18% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -2% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 12% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 19% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 2.27% vis-vis 2.2% for Dec 2020
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 20.64% vis-vis 21.03% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
– has delivered good profit growth of 530.52% CAGR over last 5 years
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 28.33% – Stock is trading at 12.82 times its book value

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 1314.82 and is trading at 1448.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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