Investment Memo: 530331

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 6
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

Premco Global is engaged in the business of Manufacturing of Woven & Knitted Elastic Tapes.

Main Points

Capacity: #
Premco has a capacity of over 300 million metres per year in knitted and woven tapes.
Specialists in the production of jacquard elastics.
It has 4 manufacturing units in India- Mumbai, Dadra, Palgarh & Vapi and one foreign manufacturing unit in Vietnam.
As of FY20, Dadra & Vietnam units are the biggest contributor to overall sales.Site: 530331Main Symbol: PREMCO

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 155 cr Price: 469.0 Trading pe: 10.4x
Book-value: 257/share Div yield: 1.71 % Earning yield: 13.98%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 525.10 52week low: 63.80

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 469.0, above its 50dma 402.95. It also trades above its 200dma 288.1. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 525.10 and the 52week low is at 63.80

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is almost debt free.
– is expected to give good quarter
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 19.55%

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 6.24% over past five years.
-Tax rate seems low
– has a low return on equity of 10.17% for last 3 years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 17.6x. Alok Industries trades at the industry’s max P/E of 501.08x. 530331 trades at a P/E of 10.4x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.5 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. 530331 has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 21.3%. The max 1- month return was given by Vishal Fabrics: a return of 56.82 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 34.71 cr compared to Rs 18.74 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 85.2%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 9.28 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 1.17 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 2049.2 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 16.82 compared to Rs 16.34 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 0.03 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 100.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 76.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a healthy growth of 24.0%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 8.6%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 22.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 10.0% for period ended Mar 2020, expansion of 1200.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 14.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 5.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 64.3%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 40.9% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 19.0% compared to 10.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 501% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 28% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 30% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 8% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 253% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 54% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 0.19% vis-vis 0.27% for Dec 2020
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 30.74% vis-vis 30.66% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– is almost debt free.
– is expected to give good quarter
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 19.55% – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 6.24% over past five years.
-Tax rate seems low
– has a low return on equity of 10.17% for last 3 years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 402.95 and is trading at 469.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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