Home Investment Memo: BIOCON

Investment Memo: BIOCON

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 3
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Biocon is engaged in the business of manufacture of biotechnology products and research services.(Source : 202003-01 Annual Report Page No:195)

Main Points

Biologics (31% of sales)
Has one of the largest biosimilar pipelines comprising 28 molecules to be launched over the next decade. #
Only Indian company to get FDA approval for 3 biosimilar molecules (Trastuzumab, Pegfilgrastim and Insulin Glargine)Site: BIOCONMain Symbol: BIOCON

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 48,384 cr Price: 403.0 Trading pe: 72.6x
Book-value: 63.5/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 2.19%
Face-value: 5.00/share 52week high: 487.75 52week low: 363.25

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 403.0, above its 50dma 398.37. It also trades above its 200dma 400.21. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 487.75 and the 52week low is at 363.25

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 6.34 times its book value
-Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
– has a low return on equity of 11.31% for last 3 years.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 32.3x. Biocon trades at the industry’s max P/E of 72.56x. BIOCON trades at a P/E of 72.6x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 1.9 while the mean Piotski score is 9.0. BIOCON has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 0.4%. The max 1- month return was given by Torrent Pharma.: a return of 3.78 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 1761.0 cr compared to Rs 1694.0 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 4.0%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 333.0 cr for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis 410.0 for period ended Jun 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -529.3 bps for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis Jun 2020 .
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 0.7 compared to Rs 2.11 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs 1.24 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 7198.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 7106.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a growth of 1.3%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 9.3%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 21.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 22.0% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 675.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 740.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, falling 9.6%.
  • Company reported a poor Net Profit CAGR of -9.3% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 10.0% compared to 11.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of -6% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 12% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 10% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 20% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 3% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 30% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 15.91% vis-vis 16.3% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 15.02% vis-vis 14.96% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– – Stock is trading at 6.34 times its book value
-Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
– has a low return on equity of 11.31% for last 3 years.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 398.37 and is trading at 403.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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