Home Investment Memo: AVANTIFEED

Investment Memo: AVANTIFEED

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Avanti Feeds is a leading provider of high quality shrimp feed, best technical support to the farmer and caters to the quality standards of global shrimp customers.#

Main Points

Shrimp Feed Business (78% of revenues)#
The company is the largest producer of shrimp feed in India with a market share of ~45% in the domestic feed business.#
It sold ~485,000 Tonnes of shrimp feed in FY20 which translates to ~81% capacity utilization.#
The feed is sold in India and Bangladesh.Site: AVANTIFEEDMain Symbol: AVANTI

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 8,554 cr Price: 628.0 Trading pe: 26.5x
Book-value: 129/share Div yield: 1.00 % Earning yield: 6.09%
Face-value: 1.00/share 52week high: 675.00 52week low: 410.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 628.0, above its 50dma 581.94. It also trades above its 200dma 525.97. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 675.00 and the 52week low is at 410.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is almost debt free.
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 23.04%
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 21.20%
-‘s median sales growth is 29.71% of last 10 years

Weakness

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 28.6x. Unique Organics trades at the industry’s max P/E of 166.6x. AVANTIFEED trades at a P/E of 26.5x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.6 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. AVANTIFEED has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 15.7%. The max 1- month return was given by Tanvi Foods: a return of 75.2 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 1098.0 cr compared to Rs 1035.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 6.1%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 85.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 125.0 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -433.6 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 5.12 compared to Rs 5.5 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 6.38 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 4101.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 4115.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 0.3%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 6.5%.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 360.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 346.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 3.9%.
  • Company reported a poor Net Profit CAGR of -6.9% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 383.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 178.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The stock has given a return of 41% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 11% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -0% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 7% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -5% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -10% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 17.57% vis-vis 17.65% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 31.66% vis-vis 32.81% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– is almost debt free.
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 23.04%
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 21.20%
-‘s median sales growth is 29.71% of last 10 years –

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 581.94 and is trading at 628.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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