Investment Memo: JSL

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 7
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

Jindal Stainless is engaged in a leading manufacturer of Stainless Steel flat products in Austenitic, Ferritic, Martensitic and Duplex grades. The product range includes Ferro Alloys, Stainless Steel Slabs, Hot Rolled Coils, Plates and Sheets, and Cold Rolled Coils and Sheets.(Source : 201903 Annual Report Page No: 123)Site: JSLMain Symbol: JSL

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 7,430 cr Price: 152.0 Trading pe: 20.8x
Book-value: 65.8/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 10.14%
Face-value: 2.00/share 52week high: 158.40 52week low: 35.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 152.0, above its 50dma 108.41. It also trades above its 200dma 82.63. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 158.40 and the 52week low is at 35.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.

Weakness

– Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 11.28% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 6.21% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.3688.95 Cr.
-Promoters have pledged 86.64% of their holding.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 13.9x. APL Apollo Tubes trades at the industry’s max P/E of 55.86x. JSL trades at a P/E of 20.8x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 6.0 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. JSL has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 12.5%. The max 1- month return was given by Jindal Stain.: a return of 42.81 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 4033.0 cr compared to Rs 1376.0 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 193.1%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 601.0 cr for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis 46.0 for period ended Jun 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 1155.9 bps for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis Jun 2020 .
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 6.21 compared to Rs 5.94 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs -2.5 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 14845.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 12188.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 17.9%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 3.1%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 13.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 12.0% for period ended Mar 2021, expansion of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 844.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 419.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 50.4%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 81.1% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 1308.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 1180.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 12.0% compared to 6.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 304% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 36% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -6% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 2% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 418% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 1% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 14.76% vis-vis 13.21% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 11.11% vis-vis 11.35% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– has reduced debt. – Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 11.28% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 6.21% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.3688.95 Cr.
-Promoters have pledged 86.64% of their holding.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 108.41 and is trading at 152.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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