Home Investment Memo: HINDALCO

Investment Memo: HINDALCO

[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)][lwa][/s2If] [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 5
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

Hindalco Industries is engaged in the business of Aluminium and Aluminium Products, Copper and Copper Products.Site: HINDALCOMain Symbol: HINDALCO

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 102,992 cr Price: 458.0 Trading pe: 27.1x
Book-value: 296/share Div yield: 0.65 % Earning yield: 6.91%
Face-value: 1.00/share 52week high: 428.30 52week low: 154.40

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 458.0, above its 50dma 385.3. It also trades above its 200dma 318.59. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 428.30 and the 52week low is at 154.40

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 5.97% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 7.45% for last 3 years.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost
-Dividend payout has been low at 10.03% of profits over last 3 years

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 18.5x. Arfin India trades at the industry’s max P/E of 27.57x. HINDALCO trades at a P/E of 27.1x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.0 while the mean Piotski score is 9.0. HINDALCO has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 19.1%. The max 1- month return was given by MMP Industries: a return of 53.36 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 40507.0 cr compared to Rs 29318.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 38.2%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 5638.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 3840.0 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 82.1 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 8.58 compared to Rs 8.36 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 2.98 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 131985.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 118144.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a healthy growth of 10.5%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 4.6%.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 3483.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 3767.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 8.2%.
  • Company reported a poor Net Profit CAGR of -17.0% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 17232.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 12665.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 6.0% compared to 7.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 179% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 29% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 12% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 5% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -1% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -14% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 24.95% vis-vis 25.0% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 19.55% vis-vis 19.28% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 5.97% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 7.45% for last 3 years.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost
-Dividend payout has been low at 10.03% of profits over last 3 years

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 385.3 and is trading at 458.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

[/s2If]
Join Our Telegram Group