Home Investment Memo: TCPLPACK

Investment Memo: TCPLPACK

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 6
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

TCPL manufactures folding cartons, printed blanks and outers, litho-lamination, plastic cartons, blister packs, and shelf-ready packaging. TCPL has also ventured into the flexible packaging industry, with the capability to produce printed cork-tipping paper, laminates, sleeves, and wrap-around labels.

Main Points

Manufacturing Unit
The company has 7 manufacturing units as of FY20 #. The company operates multiple manufacturing units situated at Haridwar, Silvassa, Goa, Guwahati. #Site: TCPLPACKMain Symbol: TCPLPACK

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 510 cr Price: 560.0 Trading pe: 15.2x
Book-value: 330/share Div yield: 1.31 % Earning yield: 10.80%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 604.00 52week low: 282.20

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 560.0, above its 50dma 514.17. It also trades above its 200dma 435.11. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 604.00 and the 52week low is at 282.20

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 8.81% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 12.87% for last 3 years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 17.2x. EPL Ltd trades at the industry’s max P/E of 30.49x. TCPLPACK trades at a P/E of 15.2x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.8 while the mean Piotski score is 9.0. TCPLPACK has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 11.6%. The max 1- month return was given by Cosmo Films: a return of 36.47 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 246.0 cr compared to Rs 213.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 15.5%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 35.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 28.0 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 108.2 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 13.84 compared to Rs 10.93 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 13.12 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 904.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 890.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a growth of 1.5%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 9.0%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 15.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 14.0% for period ended Mar 2020, expansion of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 34.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 37.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 8.8%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 19.3% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 115.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 86.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 12.0% compared to 13.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 92% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 5% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 2% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 9% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -8% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 18% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 0.32% vis-vis 0.32% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 36.24% vis-vis 35.8% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 8.81% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 12.87% for last 3 years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 514.17 and is trading at 560.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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