Home Investment Memo: 524654

Investment Memo: 524654

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 7
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Natural Capsules is engaged in the Business of E.G.H Capsules.Site: 524654Main Symbol: NATCAPSUQ

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 104 cr Price: 167.0 Trading pe: 19.6x
Book-value: 99.7/share Div yield: 0.60 % Earning yield: 6.93%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 188.50 52week low: 47.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 167.0, above its 50dma 154.78. It also trades above its 200dma 122.31. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 188.50 and the 52week low is at 47.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is expected to give good quarter
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 28.29%
-Debtor days have improved from 166.40 to 122.57 days.

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 5.08% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 4.90% for last 3 years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 12.4x. Natural Capsules trades at the industry’s max P/E of 19.62x. 524654 trades at a P/E of 19.6x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 5.5 while the mean Piotski score is 9.0. 524654 has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 8.8%. The max 1- month return was given by Natural Capsules: a return of 11.05 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 25.71 cr compared to Rs 16.0 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 60.7%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 4.26 cr for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis 1.6 for period ended Jun 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 656.9 bps for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis Jun 2020 .
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 3.37 compared to Rs 2.68 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs 4.0 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 89.23 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 79.51 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 10.9%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 14.3%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 15.26% for period ended TTM vis-vis 14.01% for period ended Mar 2021, expansion of 125.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 6.58 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 6.95 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, falling 5.6%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 50.8% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 9.0% compared to 5.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 244% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 19% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 29% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 13% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 516% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 68% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 45.63% vis-vis 45.63% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– is expected to give good quarter
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 28.29%
-Debtor days have improved from 166.40 to 122.57 days. – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 5.08% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 4.90% for last 3 years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 154.78 and is trading at 167.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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