Home Investment Memo: MALUPAPER

Investment Memo: MALUPAPER

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 3
G Factor: 3
Piotski Score: 4
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski score of 4.

Description

Malu Paper Mills Limited is manufactures and sells paper products in India which inculde paper materials for producing corrugated boxes, printing paper and newsprint paper.Site: MALUPAPERMain Symbol: MALUPAPER

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 68.2 cr Price: 39.9 Trading pe: x
Book-value: 14.1/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 1.06%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 44.00 52week low: 22.10

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 39.9, above its 50dma 35.38. It also trades above its 200dma 30.61. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 44.00 and the 52week low is at 22.10

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 2.83 times its book value
– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -5.00% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 2.67% for last 3 years.
-Promoters have pledged 72.91% of their holding.
-Debtor days have increased from 47.79 to 69.35 days.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 18.2x. Century Textiles trades at the industry’s max P/E of 278.11x. MALUPAPER trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.9 while the mean Piotski score is 6.0. MALUPAPER has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski scoreof 4.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 3.7%. The max 1- month return was given by JK Paper: a return of 24.15 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 34.5 cr compared to Rs 23.11 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 49.3%
  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -0.98 cr for period ended Jun 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was -1.72
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs -1.72 compared to Rs 0.79 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs -1.89 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 182.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 171.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a growth of 6.0%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -12.7%.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -5.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs -6.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was -21.0% compared to 3.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 44% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -5% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -25% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -15% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -974% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of % over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 30.05% vis-vis 30.05% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– – Stock is trading at 2.83 times its book value
– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -5.00% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 2.67% for last 3 years.
-Promoters have pledged 72.91% of their holding.
-Debtor days have increased from 47.79 to 69.35 days.

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 35.38 and is trading at 39.9 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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