Home Investment Memo: VSCL

Investment Memo: VSCL

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 3
Piotski Score: 4
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski score of 4.

Description

Vadivarhe Speciality Chemicals specializes in organic chemicals for a variety of uses. Its product range comprises of Intermediates, Ingredients for Personal & Hair Care products and Speciality Chemicals for API manufacturers.Site: VSCLMain Symbol: www.nseindia.com

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 37.4 cr Price: 29.2 Trading pe: x
Book-value: 11.6/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: -3.82%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 28.70 52week low: 7.70

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 29.2, above its 50dma 17.89. It also trades above its 200dma 23.06. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 28.70 and the 52week low is at 7.70

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 2.51 times its book value
– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 0.14% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -20.08% for last 3 years.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost
-Promoters have pledged 100.00% of their holding.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 26.5x. Pidilite Inds. trades at the industry’s max P/E of 84.49x. VSCL trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.4 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. VSCL has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski scoreof 4.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 16.7%. The max 1- month return was given by Vadivarhe Speci.: a return of 71.55 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 4.23 cr compared to Rs 7.37 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a fall of 42.6%
  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -1.07 cr for period ended Jun 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was 0.02
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs -1.46 compared to Rs -0.47 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs -0.56 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 23.33 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 26.47 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a fall of 13.5%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -10.3%.
  • Operating margins shrank to -7.42% for period ended TTM vis-vis -2.34% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 508.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -3.75 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs -2.76 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, falling 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The stock has given a return of 298% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -25% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -7% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 1% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 65% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of % over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Conclusion

    – – Stock is trading at 2.51 times its book value
    – has low interest coverage ratio.
    -The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 0.14% over past five years.
    – has a low return on equity of -20.08% for last 3 years.
    – might be capitalizing the interest cost
    -Promoters have pledged 100.00% of their holding.

    • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 17.89 and is trading at 29.2 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
    • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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