Home Investment Memo: GMBREW

Investment Memo: GMBREW

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 5
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

G M Breweries Ltd, set up in 1981 manufactures and markets Alcoholic Beverages such as Country Liquor (CL) and Indian-made Foreign Liquor (IMFL). [1]Site: GMBREWMain Symbol: GMBREW

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 1,616 cr Price: 883.0 Trading pe: 16.2x
Book-value: 276/share Div yield: 0.45 % Earning yield: 10.15%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 654.00 52week low: 365.60

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 883.0, above its 50dma 574.1. It also trades above its 200dma 507.19. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 654.00 and the 52week low is at 365.60

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is almost debt free.
– is expected to give good quarter

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -1.11% over past five years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 45.6x. United Breweries trades at the industry’s max P/E of 175.99x. GMBREW trades at a P/E of 16.2x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.3 while the mean Piotski score is 9.0. GMBREW has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 29.4%. The max 1- month return was given by G M Breweries: a return of 53.9 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Sep 2021 is Rs 116.0 cr compared to Rs 73.0 cr for period ended Sep 2020, a rise of 58.9%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 29.0 cr for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis 15.0 for period ended Sep 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 445.2 bps for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis Sep 2020 .
  • The EPS for Sep 2021 was Rs 11.95 compared to Rs 6.37 for previous quarter ended Jun 2021 and Rs 6.13 for Sep 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 425.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 340.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 20.0%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -2.9%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 24.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 22.0% for period ended Mar 2021, expansion of 200.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 100.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 80.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 20.0%.
  • Company recorded a Net Profit CAGR of 6.8% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The stock has given a return of 129% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 15% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 29% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -7% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 120% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 2% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 1.38% vis-vis 1.63% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 24.19% vis-vis 23.94% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– is almost debt free.
– is expected to give good quarter – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -1.11% over past five years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 574.1 and is trading at 883.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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