Home Investment Memo: SHRENIK

Investment Memo: SHRENIK

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 3
G Factor: 1
Piotski Score: 4
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 1 and Piotski score of 4.

Description

Shrenik is engaged in the field of Trading and Processing of all kinds of Paper, Pulp, Paper Boards etc.Site: SHRENIKMain Symbol: www.nseindia.com

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 119 cr Price: 1.95 Trading pe: x
Book-value: 1.20/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 5.25%
Face-value: 1.00/share 52week high: 10.45 52week low: 1.40

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 1.95, above its 50dma 1.68. However it is trading below its 200dma 2.76. The stock remains weak though short term bullish momentum supports price action. It needs to close above 2.76 for bullish price action to continue
  • The 52 week high is at 10.45 and the 52week low is at 1.40

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-Promoter holding has decreased over last quarter: -2.59%
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 2.01% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 10.34% for last 3 years.
-Promoters have pledged 53.76% of their holding.
-Earnings include an other income of Rs.4.77 Cr.
-Debtor days have increased from 85.20 to 143.91 days.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 46.4x. Adani Enterp. trades at the industry’s max P/E of 139.1x. SHRENIK trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.2 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. SHRENIK has a G-Factor of 1 and Piotski scoreof 4.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 7.1%. The max 1- month return was given by PTC India: a return of 35.98 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Sep 2021 is Rs 9.27 cr compared to Rs 176.16 cr for period ended Sep 2020, a fall of 94.7%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 1.18 cr for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis 8.53 for period ended Sep 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 788.7 bps for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis Sep 2020 .
  • The EPS for Sep 2021 was Rs -0.09 compared to Rs -0.06 for previous quarter ended Jun 2021 and Rs 0.05 for Sep 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 172.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 364.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a fall of 111.6%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -41.0%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 2.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 4.0% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 200.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -12.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs -1.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, falling 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 27.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 10.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was -2.0% compared to 10.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of -79% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -49% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -46% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -15% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -151% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of % over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Conclusion

– – has low interest coverage ratio.
-Promoter holding has decreased over last quarter: -2.59%
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 2.01% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 10.34% for last 3 years.
-Promoters have pledged 53.76% of their holding.
-Earnings include an other income of Rs.4.77 Cr.
-Debtor days have increased from 85.20 to 143.91 days.

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 1.68 and is trading at 1.95 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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