Investment Memo: BAJAJFINSV

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 5
G Factor: 2
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

Bajaj Finserv is primarily engaged in the business of promoting financial services such as finance, insurance, wealth management, etc. through its investments in subsidiaries and joint ventures. The Company is also engaged in the business of generating power through wind turbines, a renewable source of energy.(Source : 202003-01 Annual Report Page No:254)Site: BAJAJFINSVMain Symbol: BAJAJFINSV

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 286,638 cr Price: 18012.0 Trading pe: 70.1x
Book-value: 2,252/share Div yield: 0.02 % Earning yield: 4.52%
Face-value: 5.00/share 52week high: 18813.80 52week low: 5511.05

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 18012.0, above its 50dma 15929.02. It also trades above its 200dma 12350.09. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 18813.80 and the 52week low is at 5511.05

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has delivered good profit growth of 19.14% CAGR over last 5 years
-‘s median sales growth is 27.57% of last 10 years

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 8.00 times its book value
– has a low return on equity of 13.30% for last 3 years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 23.3x. SBI Cards trades at the industry’s max P/E of 119.64x. BAJAJFINSV trades at a P/E of 70.1x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.1 while the mean Piotski score is 6.0. BAJAJFINSV has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 2.5%. The max 1- month return was given by Cholaman.Inv.&Fn: a return of 12.39 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 13949.0 cr compared to Rs 14190.0 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a fall of 1.7%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 4090.0 cr for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis 5087.0 for period ended Jun 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -652.8 bps for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis Jun 2020 .
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 52.33 compared to Rs 61.52 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs 76.36 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 60344.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 60592.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a fall of 0.4%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 12.3%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 31.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 32.0% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 4088.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 4470.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, falling 9.3%.
  • Company recorded a Net Profit CAGR of 8.3% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 4547.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs -23369.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 13.0% compared to 13.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 219% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 49% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 7% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 23% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 9% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 19% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 fii holding stood at 8.92% vis-vis 9.55% for Jun 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 public holding stood at 23.5% vis-vis 23.49% for Jun 2021

Conclusion

– has delivered good profit growth of 19.14% CAGR over last 5 years
-‘s median sales growth is 27.57% of last 10 years – Stock is trading at 8.00 times its book value
– has a low return on equity of 13.30% for last 3 years.

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 15929.02 and is trading at 18012.0 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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