Home Investment Memo: 500388

Investment Memo: 500388

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 5
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Shree Krishna Paper Mills & Inds is engaged in the business of manufacturing and selling of news print paper and other value-added papers.Site: 500388Main Symbol: SKPMIL

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 28.7 cr Price: 21.2 Trading pe: x
Book-value: 15.6/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 3.50%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 26.60 52week low: 11.45

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 21.2, above its 50dma 15.81. It also trades above its 200dma 18.71. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 26.60 and the 52week low is at 11.45

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -11.11% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -14.06% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.13.42 Cr.
-Promoters have pledged 84.41% of their holding.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 14.0x. Century Textiles trades at the industry’s max P/E of 107.74x. 500388 trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.9 while the mean Piotski score is 6.0. 500388 has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is -8.2%. The max 1- month return was given by T N Newsprint: a return of -1.95 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Sep 2021 is Rs 21.54 cr compared to Rs 20.48 cr for period ended Sep 2020, a rise of 5.2%
  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -0.13 cr for period ended Sep 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was 0.96
  • The EPS for Sep 2021 was Rs -0.87 compared to Rs 0.05 for previous quarter ended Jun 2021 and Rs -0.59 for Sep 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 82.1 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 69.41 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 15.5%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -16.8%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 5.02% for period ended TTM vis-vis 4.05% for period ended Mar 2021, expansion of 97.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -1.94 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs -3.27 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The stock has given a return of -3% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -15% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 1% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -20% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 84% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 1% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 public holding stood at 57.77% vis-vis 57.77% for Jun 2021

Conclusion

– – has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -11.11% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -14.06% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.13.42 Cr.
-Promoters have pledged 84.41% of their holding.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 15.81 and is trading at 21.2, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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