Home Investment Memo: 503229

Investment Memo: 503229

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Simplex Realty is engaged in the Business of Construction and Real Estate Development.Site: 503229Main Symbol: SIMPLXREA

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 26.9 cr Price: 89.9 Trading pe: 48.9x
Book-value: 359/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 2.67%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 96.90 52week low: 33.30

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 89.9, above its 50dma 71.8. It also trades above its 200dma 56.89. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 96.90 and the 52week low is at 33.30

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
-Stock is trading at 0.25 times its book value

Weakness

– Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -31.96% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -0.78% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.51.76 Cr.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 35.9x. Phoenix Mills trades at the industry’s max P/E of 277.46x. 503229 trades at a P/E of 48.9x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.2 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. 503229 has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 3.7%. The max 1- month return was given by Brigade Enterpr.: a return of 14.28 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 0.17 cr compared to Rs 3.32 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 94.9%
  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -0.95 cr for period ended Mar 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was -1.04
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 1.83 compared to Rs 0.87 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 0.47 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 4.16 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 9.01 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 116.6%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -36.7%.
  • Operating margins shrank to -104.33% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis -39.96% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 6437.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 0.55 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 0.34 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 2.06 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs -3.84 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 1.0% compared to -1.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 176% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 4% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -54% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -37% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 62% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 22% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 28.05% vis-vis 27.81% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
-Stock is trading at 0.25 times its book value – Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -31.96% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -0.78% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.51.76 Cr.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 71.8 and is trading at 89.9, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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