Investment Memo: 506808

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 1
Piotski Score: 4
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 1 and Piotski score of 4.

Description

Tuticorin Alkali Chem. & Fertilizers is engaged in the business of the manufacturing and selling Soda Ash and Ammonium Chloride Fertiliser and has its manufacturing facility at Tuticorin.(Source : 201903 Annual Report Page No: 46)Site: 506808Main Symbol: TUTIALKA

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 155 cr Price: 12.7 Trading pe: x
Book-value: -21.0/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: -33.24%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 14.78 52week low: 5.50

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 12.7, above its 50dma 11.29. It also trades above its 200dma 9.73. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 14.78 and the 52week low is at 5.50

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -15.88% over past five years.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 31.8x. Lords Chloro trades at the industry’s max P/E of 124.58x. 506808 trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.8 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. 506808 has a G-Factor of 1 and Piotski scoreof 4.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 25.5%. The max 1- month return was given by Lords Chloro: a return of 43.63 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 17.0 cr compared to Rs 14.0 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 21.4%
  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -16.0 cr for period ended Jun 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was -11.0
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs -1.4 compared to Rs -1.95 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs -0.98 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 69.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 66.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a growth of 4.3%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -26.7%.
  • Operating margins shrank to -87.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis -83.0% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 400.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -63.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs -58.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, falling 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 6.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 3.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The stock has given a return of 70% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 47% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -48% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -21% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -124% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -11% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 17.93% vis-vis 17.93% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 7.07% vis-vis 7.07% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– has reduced debt. – has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -15.88% over past five years.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 11.29 and is trading at 12.7 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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