Investment Memo: 507508

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 3
G Factor: 2
Piotski Score: 3
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski score of 3.

Description

Riga Sugar Company is one of the oldest sugar factories in India. The principal activity of the Company is manufacturing of sugar.Site: 507508Main Symbol: RIGASUG

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 16.2 cr Price: 11.2 Trading pe: x
Book-value: -47.9/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: -17.91%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 14.38 52week low: 3.41

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 11.2, above its 50dma 9.26. It also trades above its 200dma 6.16. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 14.38 and the 52week low is at 3.41

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -15.17% over past five years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.25.14 Cr.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 12.2x. Bannari Amm.Sug. trades at the industry’s max P/E of 27.1x. 507508 trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.2 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. 507508 has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski scoreof 3.
– Average 1 month return for industry is -8.5%. The max 1- month return was given by Bannari Amm.Sug.: a return of 1.31 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 0.4 cr compared to Rs 37.63 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a fall of 98.9%
  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -2.34 cr for period ended Jun 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was 1.29
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs -4.66 compared to Rs -20.96 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs -1.95 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 43.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 79.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a fall of 83.7%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -34.8%.
  • Operating margins shrank to -57.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis -26.0% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 3100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -51.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs -47.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, falling 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The stock has given a return of 144% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 20% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -48% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -6% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -97% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of % over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 31.51% vis-vis 31.51% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– – has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -15.17% over past five years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.25.14 Cr.

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 9.26 and is trading at 11.2 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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