Home Investment Memo: 509048

Investment Memo: 509048

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 3
G Factor: 1
Piotski Score: 3
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 1 and Piotski score of 3.

Description

Lancor Holdings is engaged in the business of real estate development and leasing of commercial properties.(Source : 201903 Annual Report Page No:83)Site: 509048

Market Cap: Rs 27.5 cr Price: 6.79 Trading pe: x
Book-value: 37.8/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 11.09%
Face-value: 2.00/share 52week high: 8.14 52week low: 2.76

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 6.79, above its 50dma 6.66. It also trades above its 200dma 5.99. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 8.14 and the 52week low is at 2.76

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– Stock is trading at 0.18 times its book value

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -9.13% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -2.92% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.40.95 Cr.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 41.1x. Phoenix Mills trades at the industry’s max P/E of 267.52x. 509048 trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.0 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. 509048 has a G-Factor of 1 and Piotski scoreof 3.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 3.9%. The max 1- month return was given by NBCC: a return of 10.92 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 28.83 cr compared to Rs 15.49 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 86.1%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 4.1 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 6.44 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -2735.4 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs -0.64 compared to Rs -1.09 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs -0.28 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 51.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 58.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 13.7%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -10.9%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 25.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 32.0% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 700.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -12.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs -6.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 0.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs -11.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was -8.0% compared to -3.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 98% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -33% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -12% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -11% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -107% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of % over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 0.25% vis-vis 0.25% for Dec 2020
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 37.67% vis-vis 37.67% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– Stock is trading at 0.18 times its book value – has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -9.13% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -2.92% for last 3 years.
-Contingent liabilities of Rs.40.95 Cr.

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 6.66 and is trading at 6.79 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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