Home Investment Memo: 509835

Investment Memo: 509835

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 3
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

Premier Synthetics is engaged in the business of manufacturing of Cotton Yarn.Site: 509835Main Symbol: PREMSYN

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 14.1 cr Price: 30.6 Trading pe: 8.86x
Book-value: 71.0/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 6.94%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 41.40 52week low: 5.50

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 30.6, above its 50dma 24.31. It also trades above its 200dma 16.29. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 41.40 and the 52week low is at 5.50

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– Stock is trading at 0.43 times its book value

Weakness

– Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 11.76% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 3.22% for last 3 years.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost
-Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -3.06%

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 15.7x. Alok Industries trades at the industry’s max P/E of 20.45x. 509835 trades at a P/E of 8.86x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.5 while the mean Piotski score is 6.0. 509835 has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 4.3%. The max 1- month return was given by Prem. Synthetic: a return of 33.55 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 12.86 cr compared to Rs 0.37 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 3375.7%
  • Company reported operating profit of Rs 0.76 cr for period ended Jun 2021, operating profit margin at 5.9 %.
  • Operating profit was negative for the same period last year thus company has improved its margins this year
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 1.28 compared to Rs 3.24 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs -0.5 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 36.85 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 24.36 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 33.9%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -7.4%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 7.9% for period ended TTM vis-vis 8.58% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 68.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 2.41 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 1.59 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 34.0%.
  • Company recorded a Net Profit CAGR of 5.2% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 5.0% compared to 3.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 404% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -52% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -43% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -19% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 8050% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 11% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 48.52% vis-vis 47.92% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– Stock is trading at 0.43 times its book value – Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 11.76% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 3.22% for last 3 years.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost
-Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -3.06%

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 24.31 and is trading at 30.6 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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