Investment Memo: 516030

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 5
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

Yash Papers is engaged in Kraft Paper, Poster Paper, Moulded Products and Bagasse Pith Pallets.Site: 516030Main Symbol: YASHPAKKA

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 331 cr Price: 94.0 Trading pe: 12.8x
Book-value: 36.9/share Div yield: 1.06 % Earning yield: 8.39%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 110.40 52week low: 31.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 94.0, above its 50dma 88.06. It also trades above its 200dma 78.61. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 110.40 and the 52week low is at 31.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 1.16% over past five years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 23.2x. Century Textiles trades at the industry’s max P/E of 285.15x. 516030 trades at a P/E of 12.8x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.1 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. 516030 has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 11.2%. The max 1- month return was given by Century Textiles: a return of 28.84 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 61.0 cr compared to Rs 32.0 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 90.6%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 19.0 cr for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis 6.0 for period ended Jun 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 1239.8 bps for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis Jun 2020 .
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 2.94 compared to Rs 1.9 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs 0.33 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 212.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 184.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 13.2%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -5.3%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 21.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 18.0% for period ended Mar 2021, expansion of 300.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 26.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 17.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 34.6%.
  • Company recorded a Net Profit CAGR of 7.4% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 14.0% compared to 21.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 191% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 9% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -3% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -3% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 27% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 10% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 2.62% vis-vis 2.59% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 52.23% vis-vis 52.26% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 1.16% over past five years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 88.06 and is trading at 94.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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