Home Investment Memo: 526137

Investment Memo: 526137

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 2
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

Shetron is exclusively engaged in the business of ‘Metal Packaging’ products primarily in India.Site: 526137

Market Cap: Rs 26.4 cr Price: 29.4 Trading pe: x
Book-value: 44.7/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 9.89%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 34.00 52week low: 16.05

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 29.4, above its 50dma 24.47. It also trades above its 200dma 21.43. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 34.00 and the 52week low is at 16.05

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– Stock is trading at 0.66 times its book value

Weakness

– Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 0.15% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 4.12% for last 3 years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 13.4x. EPL Ltd trades at the industry’s max P/E of 31.65x. 526137 trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.9 while the mean Piotski score is 9.0. 526137 has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 12.0%. The max 1- month return was given by Shetron: a return of 22.29 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 42.37 cr compared to Rs 37.04 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 14.4%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 4.07 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 2.91 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 174.9 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 0.46 compared to Rs -0.72 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 0.13 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 171.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 162.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a growth of 5.3%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 0.6%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 7.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 10.0% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 300.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -2.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 1.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 2.0% compared to 4.0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The stock has given a return of 51% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -9% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 3% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 3% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -310% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -22% over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 35.6% vis-vis 35.6% for Dec 2020

    Conclusion

    – Stock is trading at 0.66 times its book value – Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
    – has low interest coverage ratio.
    -The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 0.15% over past five years.
    – has a low return on equity of 4.12% for last 3 years.

    • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 24.47 and is trading at 29.4 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
    • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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