Home Investment Memo: 530533

Investment Memo: 530533

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 6
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 6 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

Terai Tea Co primarily engaged in production, distribution and trading of tea and other agricultural merchandise.Site: 530533Main Symbol: TERAI

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 42.2 cr Price: 61.4 Trading pe: 5.4x
Book-value: 194/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 13.77%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 72.45 52week low: 29.05

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 61.4, above its 50dma 55.31. It also trades above its 200dma 46.74. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 72.45 and the 52week low is at 29.05

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
-Stock is trading at 0.32 times its book value
– has delivered good profit growth of 54.14% CAGR over last 5 years

Weakness

– Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -4.42% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 3.65% for last 3 years.
-Earnings include an other income of Rs.17.14 Cr.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 10.3x. Tata Consumer trades at the industry’s max P/E of 100.84x. 530533 trades at a P/E of 5.4x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.2 while the mean Piotski score is 9.0. 530533 has a G-Factor of 6 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is -4.0%. The max 1- month return was given by Tata Consumer: a return of 9.91 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 9.98 cr compared to Rs 15.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 33.5%
  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -8.62 cr for period ended Mar 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was -11.05
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 1.05 compared to Rs -11.6 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs -0.06 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 71.45 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 118.66 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 66.1%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -17.9%.
  • Operating margins shrank to -9.15% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis -4.42% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 473.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 7.83 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 2.75 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 6.0% compared to 4.0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The stock has given a return of 74% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 15% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -40% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -18% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 185% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 364% over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 25.82% vis-vis 25.82% for Mar 2021

    Conclusion

    – has reduced debt.
    -Stock is trading at 0.32 times its book value
    – has delivered good profit growth of 54.14% CAGR over last 5 years – Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
    -The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -4.42% over past five years.
    – has a low return on equity of 3.65% for last 3 years.
    -Earnings include an other income of Rs.17.14 Cr.

    • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 55.31 and is trading at 61.4, thus bullish price action wise.
    • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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