Home Investment Memo: 530973

Investment Memo: 530973

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Alfa Ica (India) is engaged in the business of Decorative laminates.Site: 530973Main Symbol: ALFAICA

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 19.8 cr Price: 49.0 Trading pe: 13.9x
Book-value: 42.0/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 10.01%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 53.85 52week low: 19.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 49.0, above its 50dma 35.49. It also trades above its 200dma 29.38. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 53.85 and the 52week low is at 19.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– Stock is trading at 1.17 times its book value

Weakness

– Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 1.98% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 8.46% for last 3 years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 27.3x. Jubilant Ingrevia trades at the industry’s max P/E of 153.95x. 530973 trades at a P/E of 13.9x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.9 while the mean Piotski score is 9.0. 530973 has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 13.6%. The max 1- month return was given by Alfa Ica (I): a return of 46.61 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 15.3 cr compared to Rs 8.56 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 78.7%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 0.85 cr for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis 0.8 for period ended Jun 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -379.0 bps for period ended Jun 2021 vis-vis Jun 2020 .
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 0.64 compared to Rs 1.36 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs 0.52 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 61.91 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 55.17 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 10.9%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 3.4%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 5.35% for period ended TTM vis-vis 5.91% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 56.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 1.47 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 1.42 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 3.4%.
  • Company recorded a Net Profit CAGR of 5.6% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 9.0% compared to 8.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 148% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 8% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -2% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -1% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 16% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 5% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 28.83% vis-vis 28.83% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– Stock is trading at 1.17 times its book value – Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 1.98% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of 8.46% for last 3 years.

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 35.49 and is trading at 49.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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