Home Investment Memo: 532183

Investment Memo: 532183

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 3
G Factor: 2
Piotski Score: 3
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski score of 3.

Description

Gayatri Sugars is engaged in manufacture of sugar and allied products and it also operates a power generation unit, the output of which is captively used and also exported to the grid.Site: 532183

Market Cap: Rs 17.1 cr Price: 3.92 Trading pe: x
Book-value: -16.1/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 1.96%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 4.49 52week low: 0.84

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 3.92, above its 50dma 2.79. It also trades above its 200dma 2.09. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 4.49 and the 52week low is at 0.84

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 0.53% over past five years.
-Promoters have pledged 36.20% of their holding.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 14.7x. Bannari Amm.Sug. trades at the industry’s max P/E of 23.55x. 532183 trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.6 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. 532183 has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski scoreof 3.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 25.5%. The max 1- month return was given by Sh.Renuka Sugar: a return of 93.13 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 139.53 cr compared to Rs 117.34 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 18.9%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 15.99 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 22.19 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -745.1 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 1.68 compared to Rs -2.13 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 3.06 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 248.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 280.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 12.9%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -0.4%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 3.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 2.0% for period ended Mar 2020, expansion of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -28.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs -28.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020,

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The stock has given a return of 367% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -18% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -11% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -3% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of % over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 42.7% vis-vis 42.7% for Dec 2020

    Conclusion

    – – has low interest coverage ratio.
    -The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 0.53% over past five years.
    -Promoters have pledged 36.20% of their holding.
    -‘s cost of borrowing seems high

    • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 2.79 and is trading at 3.92 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
    • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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