Investment Memo: 532455

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 2
Piotski Score: 4
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski score of 4.

Description

Shalimar Wires Industriesis engaged in business of Synthec Forming Fabric, Metal Fourdrinier Wire Cloth, EDM Wire.Site: 532455Main Symbol: SHALIWIR

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 31.2 cr Price: 7.3 Trading pe: x
Book-value: 6.15/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: -1.00%
Face-value: 2.00/share 52week high: 10.12 52week low: 3.16

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 7.3, above its 50dma 6.78. It also trades above its 200dma 6.27. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 10.12 and the 52week low is at 3.16

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– Stock is trading at 1.19 times its book value

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -1.63% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -19.31% for last 3 years.
-Promoters have pledged 54.24% of their holding.
-Debtor days have increased from 106.51 to 129.36 days.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 11.8x. Hindustan Copper trades at the industry’s max P/E of 66.61x. 532455 trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.6 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. 532455 has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski scoreof 4.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 2.4%. The max 1- month return was given by Prec. Wires (I): a return of 22.58 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Sep 2021 is Rs 24.17 cr compared to Rs 22.79 cr for period ended Sep 2020, a rise of 6.1%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 1.68 cr for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis 1.86 for period ended Sep 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -121.1 bps for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis Sep 2020 .
  • The EPS for Sep 2021 was Rs -0.95 compared to Rs -0.97 for previous quarter ended Jun 2021 and Rs -0.82 for Sep 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 99.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 88.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 11.1%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -4.9%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 6.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis 7.0% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 100.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -17.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs -17.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021,

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was -48.0% compared to -19.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 95% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -28% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 3% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -6% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -118% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of -21% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 public holding stood at 32.71% vis-vis 32.7% for Jun 2021

Conclusion

– Stock is trading at 1.19 times its book value – has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -1.63% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -19.31% for last 3 years.
-Promoters have pledged 54.24% of their holding.
-Debtor days have increased from 106.51 to 129.36 days.
-‘s cost of borrowing seems high

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 6.78 and is trading at 7.3 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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