Home Investment Memo: 536264

Investment Memo: 536264

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 6
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 4
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 4.

Description

Tiger Logistics (India) is a third-party logistics services provider. Its business covers international freight forwarding, supply chain management, project logistics defense logistics and cold chain logistics. Company is also customs house agent.(Source : 201903 Annual Report Page No:60)Site: 536264Main Symbol: TIGERLOGS

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 61.3 cr Price: 58.0 Trading pe: 33.5x
Book-value: 39.7/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: -13.90%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 66.05 52week low: 32.25

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 58.0, above its 50dma 52.71. It also trades above its 200dma 45.39. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 66.05 and the 52week low is at 32.25

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
– is expected to give good quarter

Weakness

– The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -7.91% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -10.39% for last 3 years.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 29.5x. Mahindra Logis. trades at the industry’s max P/E of 89.47x. 536264 trades at a P/E of 33.5x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.6 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. 536264 has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 4.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 4.5%. The max 1- month return was given by Allcargo Logist.: a return of 25.13 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 81.61 cr compared to Rs 23.85 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 242.2%
  • Company reported operating profit of Rs 4.8 cr for period ended Jun 2021, operating profit margin at 5.9 %.
  • Operating profit was negative for the same period last year thus company has improved its margins this year
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs 4.02 compared to Rs 3.3 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs -6.82 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 226.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 168.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 25.7%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -11.9%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 1.0% for period ended TTM vis-vis -6.0% for period ended Mar 2021, expansion of 700.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 1.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs -12.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 1300.0%.
  • Company reported a poor Net Profit CAGR of -45.0% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 26.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 2.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was -24.0% compared to -10.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 53% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -30% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -11% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -20% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 109% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of % over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 fii holding stood at 0.0% vis-vis 0.0% for Mar 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 26.29% vis-vis 26.29% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
– is expected to give good quarter – The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -7.91% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -10.39% for last 3 years.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 52.71 and is trading at 58.0 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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