Home Investment Memo: 537069

Investment Memo: 537069

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 5
Piotski Score: 7
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski score of 7.

Description

Arnold Holdings is engaged in the field of Corporate Finance, Infrastructure Finance, Mortgage and Gold Loans, Capital Market.Site: 537069

Market Cap: Rs 60.8 cr Price: 20.2 Trading pe: 23.2x
Book-value: 18.0/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 5.33%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 36.70 52week low: 16.20

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 20.2, below its 50dma 20.51 and below its 200dma 25.37. The stock remains bearish on technicals
  • The 52 week high is at 36.70 and the 52week low is at 16.20

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
-Stock is trading at 1.12 times its book value
– is expected to give good quarter

Weakness

– Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
-Promoter holding has decreased over last quarter: -1.83%
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -5.98% over past five years.
-Promoter holding is low: 4.75%
– has a low return on equity of 1.44% for last 3 years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 24.1x. SBI Cards trades at the industry’s max P/E of 93.15x. 537069 trades at a P/E of 23.2x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.6 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. 537069 has a G-Factor of 5 and Piotski scoreof 7.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 2.4%. The max 1- month return was given by Muthoot Finance: a return of 16.0 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 18.59 cr compared to Rs 7.88 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 135.9%
  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -0.23 cr for period ended Mar 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was 2.19
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs -0.13 compared to Rs 0.06 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 0.51 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 37.33 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 24.14 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a healthy growth of 35.3%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 6.8%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 2.41% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 9.2% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 679.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 0.69 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 1.57 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 127.5%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 20.9% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 3.0% compared to 1.0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The stock has given a return of -35% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -25% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 34% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -14% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 162% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 129% over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 95.25% vis-vis 93.42% for Dec 2020

    Conclusion

    – has reduced debt.
    – is almost debt free.
    -Stock is trading at 1.12 times its book value
    – is expected to give good quarter – Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
    -Promoter holding has decreased over last quarter: -1.83%
    -The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -5.98% over past five years.
    -Promoter holding is low: 4.75%
    – has a low return on equity of 1.44% for last 3 years.

    • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock remains below its 50 DMA 20.51 and is trading at 20.2. Shows a near term lack of buying interest.
    • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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