Investment Memo: 539220

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 3
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

Mishka Exim is engaged in the business of sale/purchase and trading of jewelley, fabric and shares.Site: 539220Main Symbol: MISHKA

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 49.3 cr Price: 34.1 Trading pe: 190.0x
Book-value: 13.6/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 0.55%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 35.15 52week low: 24.75

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 34.1, above its 50dma 31.0. It also trades above its 200dma 29.07. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 35.15 and the 52week low is at 24.75

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is almost debt free.

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 2.51 times its book value
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -26.43% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -0.54% for last 3 years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 48.4x. Mishka Exim trades at the industry’s max P/E of 189.5x. 539220 trades at a P/E of 190.0x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.9 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. 539220 has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 2.1%. The max 1- month return was given by Rain Industries: a return of 27.86 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Jun 2021 is Rs 3.21 cr compared to Rs 0.09 cr for period ended Jun 2020, a rise of 3466.7%
  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -0.13 cr for period ended Jun 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was 0.01
  • The EPS for Jun 2021 was Rs -0.1 compared to Rs -0.01 for previous quarter ended Mar 2021 and Rs -0.02 for Jun 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 6.29 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 3.17 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 49.6%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -8.5%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 3.34% for period ended TTM vis-vis 10.73% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 739.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 0.15 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 0.26 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, falling 73.3%.
  • Company recorded a Net Profit CAGR of 2.3% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs -0.11 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs -0.78 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 1.0% compared to -1.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 28% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 22% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -10% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -29% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 136% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 55% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 47.3% vis-vis 47.3% for Mar 2021

Conclusion

– is almost debt free. – Stock is trading at 2.51 times its book value
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -26.43% over past five years.
– has a low return on equity of -0.54% for last 3 years.

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 31.0 and is trading at 34.1 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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