Investment Memo: 540386

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 6
G Factor: 1
Piotski Score: 4
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 1 and Piotski score of 4.

Description

Ontic Finserve is engaged in the business of Financial Advisory Company.(Source : 201903 Annual Report Page No:20)Site: 540386Main Symbol: ONTIC

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 17.1 cr Price: 19.0 Trading pe: 46.2x
Book-value: 4.89/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 3.25%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 13.12 52week low: 3.11

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 19.0, above its 50dma 9.37. It also trades above its 200dma 7.25. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 13.12 and the 52week low is at 3.11

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– is almost debt free.
– is expected to give good quarter

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 3.89 times its book value
-Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
– has a low return on equity of 1.16% for last 3 years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 22.0x. SBI Cards trades at the industry’s max P/E of 97.71x. 540386 trades at a P/E of 46.2x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.5 while the mean Piotski score is 6.0. 540386 has a G-Factor of 1 and Piotski scoreof 4.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 6.2%. The max 1- month return was given by Ontic Finserve: a return of 46.15 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Sep 2021 is Rs 19.78 cr compared to Rs 0.48 cr for period ended Sep 2020, a rise of 4020.8%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 0.36 cr for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis 0.03 for period ended Sep 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -443.0 bps for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis Sep 2020 .
  • The EPS for Sep 2021 was Rs 0.43 compared to Rs 0.39 for previous quarter ended Jun 2021 and Rs 0.03 for Sep 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 34.37 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 2.29 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 93.3%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 229.6%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 1.69% for period ended TTM vis-vis 2.18% for period ended Mar 2021, contraction of 49.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 0.73 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 0.04 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 94.5%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 144.4% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs -0.01 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs -0.05 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 1.0% compared to 1.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 171% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of % over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 158% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -16% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 840% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 0% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 public holding stood at 100.0% vis-vis 100.0% for Jun 2021

Conclusion

– is almost debt free.
– is expected to give good quarter – Stock is trading at 3.89 times its book value
-Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
– has a low return on equity of 1.16% for last 3 years.

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 9.37 and is trading at 19.0 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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