Investment Memo: 540955

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

Tasty Dairy was incorporated in 1992 as a private limited company # and was converted into a public limited company named “Tasty Dairy Specialities Limited” in 2004. It handles the manufacturing of milk and milk-based products and is involved in processing milk, along with bulk milk procurement which primarily caters to bulk and marquee institutional customers.

Main Points

Products and Customers
Institutional Products: (Majority of the revenue comes from these-75%) #
Sold by institutional customers: Nutrition supplements and formulations for baby food, specialty milk powders, etc. to Mother Dairy, Kwality Dairy Limited, and others.
Sold by institutional customers under their own brands: full cream milk, toned milk, etc. to Gujarat Cooperative Milk Marketing Federation Limited (GCMMFL) & Banaskantha District Cooperative Milk Producers Union Limited (BDCMPUL).Site: 540955Main Symbol: TDSL

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 65.2 cr Price: 31.9 Trading pe: x
Book-value: 35.6/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 10.13%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 41.95 52week low: 17.30

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 31.9, above its 50dma 30.87. It also trades above its 200dma 26.49. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 41.95 and the 52week low is at 17.30

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– Stock is trading at 0.90 times its book value

Weakness

– has low interest coverage ratio.
– has a low return on equity of -1.52% for last 3 years.
-Debtor days have increased from 42.45 to 59.12 days.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 52.0x. Tasty Bite Eat. trades at the industry’s max P/E of 125.29x. 540955 trades at a P/E of x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.9 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. 540955 has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 5.2%. The max 1- month return was given by Tasty Bite Eat.: a return of 25.31 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 62.0 cr compared to Rs 103.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 39.8%
  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -23.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was 2.0
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs -8.14 compared to Rs 0.31 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs -0.34 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 328.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 403.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 22.9%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at -0.4%.
  • Operating margins shrank to -4.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 3.0% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 700.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs -14.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 4.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The company has worsened on its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was -19.0% compared to -2.0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The stock has given a return of 84% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of -3% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -19% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of -0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -391% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of % over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Jun 2021 public holding stood at 25.51% vis-vis 25.51% for Mar 2021

    Conclusion

    – Stock is trading at 0.90 times its book value – has low interest coverage ratio.
    – has a low return on equity of -1.52% for last 3 years.
    -Debtor days have increased from 42.45 to 59.12 days.

    • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 30.87 and is trading at 31.9, thus bullish price action wise.
    • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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