Investment Memo: AAKASH

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Our Rating: SELL

Mehabe score: 3
G Factor: 3
Piotski Score: 5
The stock has a rating SELL. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski score of 5.

Description

Aakash Exploration Services is engaged in providing Support Services of oil and gas extraction.Site: AAKASHMain Symbol: www.nseindia.com

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 198 cr Price: 196.0 Trading pe: 36.1x
Book-value: 41.0/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 3.39%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 301.00 52week low: 50.00

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 196.0, below its 50dma 250.79. However it is trading above its 200dma 179.92. The stock remains weak in the short term due to near term bearish momentum. However overall bullish structure remains intact. Price action will further build up as it moves above its dma50, currently situated at 250.79.
  • The 52 week high is at 301.00 and the 52week low is at 50.00

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 4.77 times its book value
-Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
– has a low return on equity of 12.42% for last 3 years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 17.6x. Aakash Explor. trades at the industry’s max P/E of 36.06x. AAKASH trades at a P/E of 36.1x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.2 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. AAKASH has a G-Factor of 3 and Piotski scoreof 5.
– Average 1 month return for industry is -9.4%. The max 1- month return was given by Duke Offshore: a return of -3.59 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Sep 2021 is Rs 18.04 cr compared to Rs 16.21 cr for period ended Sep 2020, a rise of 11.3%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 3.52 cr for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis 2.93 for period ended Sep 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 143.7 bps for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis Sep 2020 .
  • The EPS for Sep 2021 was Rs 1.34 compared to Rs 1.55 for previous quarter ended Jun 2021 and Rs 0.8 for Sep 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 64.58 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 59.77 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a growth of 7.4%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 7.7%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 21.77% for period ended TTM vis-vis 21.37% for period ended Mar 2021, expansion of 40.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 5.49 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 4.14 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 24.6%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 18.4% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 10.0% compared to 12.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 269% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 119% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -1% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 13% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 24% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 20% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Conclusion

– has reduced debt. – Stock is trading at 4.77 times its book value
-Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
– has a low return on equity of 12.42% for last 3 years.

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak. The business fundamentals are on shaky ground. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock reflects the poor fundamentals. The stock remains below its 50 DMA 250.79 and is trading at 196.0. It has shown near term lack of bullish momentum. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a STRONG SELL.

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