Investment Memo: AARTIIND

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Our Rating: OBSERVE & HOLD

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 2
Piotski Score: 4
The stock has a rating OBSERVE & HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski score of 4.

Description

Aarti Industries is a leading Indian manufacturer of Speciality Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals with a global footprint. Chemicals manufactured by Aarti are used in the downstream manufacture of pharmaceuticals, agrochemicals, polymers, additives, surfactants, pigments, dyes, etc. [1]Site: AARTIINDMain Symbol: AARTIIND

Price Chart

Market Cap: Rs 34,949 cr Price: 964.0 Trading pe: 57.6x
Book-value: 96.6/share Div yield: 0.23 % Earning yield: 2.37%
Face-value: 5.00/share 52week high: 987.20 52week low: 483.23

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 964.0, above its 50dma 914.19. It also trades above its 200dma 793.46. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 987.20 and the 52week low is at 483.23

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

Weakness

– Stock is trading at 9.98 times its book value
-Promoter holding has decreased over last quarter: -0.69%
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 8.43% over past five years.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 27.7x. Clean Science trades at the industry’s max P/E of 110.91x. AARTIIND trades at a P/E of 57.6x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 3.3 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. AARTIIND has a G-Factor of 2 and Piotski scoreof 4.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 0.6%. The max 1- month return was given by Solar Industries: a return of 17.41 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Sep 2021 is Rs 1552.0 cr compared to Rs 1173.0 cr for period ended Sep 2020, a rise of 32.3%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 310.0 cr for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis 254.0 for period ended Sep 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -168.0 bps for period ended Sep 2021 vis-vis Sep 2020 .
  • The EPS for Sep 2021 was Rs 4.86 compared to Rs 4.55 for previous quarter ended Jun 2021 and Rs 4.02 for Sep 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 5264.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 4506.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, a healthy growth of 14.4%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 8.1%.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 642.0 cr for period ended TTM vis-vis sales of Rs 523.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2021, rising 18.5%.
  • Company recorded a Net Profit CAGR of 9.3% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The stock has given a return of 93% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 45% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 20% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 6% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 26% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 17% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 fii holding stood at 11.86% vis-vis 11.9% for Jun 2021
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Sep 2021 public holding stood at 29.18% vis-vis 29.57% for Jun 2021

Conclusion

– – Stock is trading at 9.98 times its book value
-Promoter holding has decreased over last quarter: -0.69%
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 8.43% over past five years.
– might be capitalizing the interest cost

  • Fundamentally, the stock remains weak on business fundamentals. Weak near term results have dampened and questioned business drivers. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock trades above its 50 DMA 914.19 and is trading at 964.0 It has shown near term bullish momentum contrary to business fundamentals. We suggest to observe price action. However as investors, who like to avoid timing the markets, we suggest to avoid the stock
  • Thus, overall, we retain a OBSERVE & HOLD.

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