Home Investment Memo: AMBICAAGAR

Investment Memo: AMBICAAGAR

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 2
G Factor: 6
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 6 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Ambica Agarbathies Aroma& Industries is engages in wind power generation; and operates hotels.Site: AMBICAAGAR

Market Cap: Rs 38.5 cr Price: 22.4 Trading pe: 19.6x
Book-value: 56.6/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 8.29%
Face-value: 10.0/share 52week high: 39.70 52week low: 11.95

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 22.4, above its 50dma 20.65. It also trades above its 200dma 12.34. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 39.70 and the 52week low is at 11.95

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– Stock is trading at 0.40 times its book value

Weakness

– Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
– has low interest coverage ratio.
-The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 11.41% over past five years.
-Tax rate seems low
– has a low return on equity of -1.09% for last 3 years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 51.3x. 3M India trades at the industry’s max P/E of 183.67x. AMBICAAGAR trades at a P/E of 19.6x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 4.4 while the mean Piotski score is 7.0. AMBICAAGAR has a G-Factor of 6 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 2.7%. The max 1- month return was given by PTC India: a return of 18.35 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 36.96 cr compared to Rs 67.97 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 45.6%
  • Company reported negative operating profit of Rs -0.82 cr for period ended Mar 2021. For same period last year, operating profit was 5.58
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 2.07 compared to Rs -0.26 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 1.62 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 142.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 168.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 18.3%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 4.3%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 3.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 8.0% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 500.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 3.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 4.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 0%.

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The company has improved its Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 5.0% compared to -1.0% over the last 3 Years.
    – The stock has given a return of 460% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 78% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 14% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 12% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -78% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 46% over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 0.01% vis-vis 0.01% for Dec 2020
    – Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 51.65% vis-vis 51.65% for Dec 2020

    Conclusion

    – Stock is trading at 0.40 times its book value – Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
    – has low interest coverage ratio.
    -The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 11.41% over past five years.
    -Tax rate seems low
    – has a low return on equity of -1.09% for last 3 years.

    • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 20.65 and is trading at 22.4, thus bullish price action wise.
    • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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