Home Investment Memo: APLLTD

Investment Memo: APLLTD

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 8
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Alembic Pharmaceuticals is in the business of development, manufacturing, and marketing of Pharmaceuticals products i.e. Formulations and Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients.
The company has 3 R&D and 5 manufacturing facilities.

Main Points

52% turnover from International Generics #
Alembic Pharma operates through 3 primary business segments – International generics (52% of sales, with 75% being from the US), Domestic branded business (32% of sales), and API business(16% of sales) as of Q3FY21.Site: APLLTD

Market Cap: Rs 19,634 cr Price: 999.0 Trading pe: 16.7x
Book-value: 261/share Div yield: 0.70 % Earning yield: 7.02%
Face-value: 2.00/share 52week high: 1150.00 52week low: 863.55

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 999.0, above its 50dma 964.97. It also trades above its 200dma 945.13. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 1150.00 and the 52week low is at 863.55

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 26.96%
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 21.28%
-Debtor days have improved from 45.83 to 23.59 days.

Weakness

– Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -3.45%

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 28.8x. Sun Pharma.Inds. trades at the industry’s max P/E of 55.24x. APLLTD trades at a P/E of 16.7x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 2.4 while the mean Piotski score is 8.0. APLLTD has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 6.8%. The max 1- month return was given by Piramal Enterp.: a return of 33.82 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 1280.0 cr compared to Rs 1207.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a rise of 6.0%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 342.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 292.0 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins expanded 252.7 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 12.75 compared to Rs 14.88 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 11.93 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 5393.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 4606.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a healthy growth of 14.6%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 19.9%.
  • Operating margins expanded to 29.0% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 27.0% for period ended Mar 2020, expansion of 200.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 1178.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 829.0 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, rising 29.6%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 41.8% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

  • CashFlow from operating activities was positive.
  • CashFlow from operating activities: Rs 1463.0 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Rs 449.0 cr for period ended Mar 2020

Sales Growth

Profit Growth Statement

Profit Growth Statement

Stock Price CAGR

Return of Equity

General Comments

– The company has had stable/constant Return on Equity (RoE) metric. The RoE on Last Year basis was 28.0% compared to 27.0% over the last 3 Years.
– The stock has given a return of 10% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 25% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is 17% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 20% over the last 3 Years.
– The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is 42% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 42% over the last 3 Years.

Ratios

Shareholding Pattern

– FII shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 fii holding stood at 6.56% vis-vis 6.96% for Dec 2020
– Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 12.99% vis-vis 13.12% for Dec 2020

Conclusion

– has reduced debt.
– is almost debt free.
– has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 26.96%
– has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 21.28%
-Debtor days have improved from 45.83 to 23.59 days. – Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -3.45%

  • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
  • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 964.97 and is trading at 999.0, thus bullish price action wise.
  • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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