Home Investment Memo: BHAGYAPROP

Investment Memo: BHAGYAPROP

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Our Rating: HOLD

Mehabe score: 4
G Factor: 4
Piotski Score: 6
The stock has a rating HOLD. The mehabe team score is reflective of its fundamental and technical merits. A rating above 8 is considered good buy. The stock has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski score of 6.

Description

Bhagyanagar Properties is engaged in the business of real estate. The companys setup IT parks housing projects.Site: BHAGYAPROP

Market Cap: Rs 94.2 cr Price: 29.4 Trading pe: 27.9x
Book-value: 36.6/share Div yield: 0.00 % Earning yield: 3.97%
Face-value: 2.00/share 52week high: 34.40 52week low: 16.55

Technical Analysis

  • Stock trades at 29.4, above its 50dma 28.42. It also trades above its 200dma 25.88. The stock remains bullish on techicals
  • The 52 week high is at 34.40 and the 52week low is at 16.55

Price Chart

P/E Chart

Sales and Margin

Strengths

– Stock is trading at 0.80 times its book value

Weakness

– Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
-Tax rate seems low
– has a low return on equity of 5.05% for last 3 years.

Competition

– The industry trades at a mean P/E of 43.2x. DLF trades at the industry’s max P/E of 277.73x. BHAGYAPROP trades at a P/E of 27.9x
– Industry’s mean G-Factor is 2.8 while the mean Piotski score is 6.0. BHAGYAPROP has a G-Factor of 4 and Piotski scoreof 6.
– Average 1 month return for industry is 11.4%. The max 1- month return was given by Oberoi Realty: a return of 18.87 %

Quarterly Results

  • Sales for period ended Mar 2021 is Rs 1.51 cr compared to Rs 3.4 cr for period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 55.6%
  • Operating Profits reported at Rs 0.09 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 1.96 for period ended Mar 2020 .
  • Operating Margins contracted -5168.7 bps for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis Mar 2020 .
  • The EPS for Mar 2021 was Rs 0.36 compared to Rs -0.02 for previous quarter ended Dec 2020 and Rs 0.81 for Mar 2020

Profit & Loss Statement

Profit&Loss Comments

  • Company reported sales of Rs 6.39 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 14.31 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, a fall of 123.9%. The 3 year sales cagr stood at 95.1%.
  • Operating margins shrank to 40.53% for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis 71.07% for period ended Mar 2020, contraction of 3054.0 bps.
  • Net Profit reported at Rs 1.94 cr for period ended Mar 2021 vis-vis sales of Rs 9.62 cr for the period ended Mar 2020, falling 395.9%.
  • Company recorded a healthy Net Profit CAGR of 57.1% over the last 3 years

Balance Sheet Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow comments

    Sales Growth

    Profit Growth Statement

    Profit Growth Statement

    Stock Price CAGR

    Return of Equity

    General Comments

    – The stock has given a return of 33% on a 1 Year basis vis-vis a return of 9% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded sales growth on a TTM bassis is -44% vis-vis a compounded sales growth of 79% over the last 3 Years.
    – The compounded profit growth on a TTM basis is -67% vis-vis a compounded profit growth of 96% over the last 3 Years.

    Ratios

    Shareholding Pattern

    – Public shareholding has remained largely constant. The Mar 2021 public holding stood at 24.13% vis-vis 24.13% for Dec 2020

    Conclusion

    – Stock is trading at 0.80 times its book value – Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
    -Tax rate seems low
    – has a low return on equity of 5.05% for last 3 years.

    • The business fundamentals of the stock remain stable. Stronger near term results will build interest in the stock. We suggest to wait for a upturn in business performance.
    • Technically, the stock remains above its 50 DMA 28.42 and is trading at 29.4, thus bullish price action wise.
    • Thus, overall we retain a HOLD on the stock.

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